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The odds against
the fifth card's also being a spade will not be the invariable 4
to 1 as in Draw Poker. By this time you will have seen so many exposed
cards that you should be able to make an amended calculation. Suppose
you have seen, apart from your own 4 cards, 18 up cards, and of
these 2 were spades. This means that 7 of the outstanding 30 cards
will be spades.
The odds against your final card's being a spade will be, therefore,
3 to i. You can, however, accept less than the actual odds in chips,
for if you do fill you can always make a substantial bet after the
last card. And in this game, flushes and straights are so scarce
that bets of this kind are generally called. Apart from this factor,
four-card flushes or straights generally contain other possibilities,
even if the flush or straight is busted by the last card.
Example. "A" has ? 7 6 7. "B" has ? J 10 10.
You have Q 9 10 J in different suits. The betting so far has been
unrevealing and you have no reason to suspect that either "A"
or "B" has anything terrific in the hole. Even though
carding warns you that chances are unfavorable for a straight, your
hand has a reasonable chance of winning as a pair of Queens or Jacks.
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